Hunan Valin (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.08
| 000932 Stock | 4.41 0.05 1.15% |
Hunan |
Hunan Valin Target Price Odds to finish below 4.08
The tendency of Hunan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.08 or more in 90 days |
| 4.41 | 90 days | 4.08 | about 37.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hunan Valin to drop to 4.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.98 (This Hunan Valin Steel probability density function shows the probability of Hunan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hunan Valin Steel price to stay between 4.08 and its current price of 4.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hunan Valin Steel has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hunan Valin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hunan Valin Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hunan Valin Steel has an alpha of 0.1807, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hunan Valin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hunan Valin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hunan Valin Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hunan Valin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hunan Valin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hunan Valin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hunan Valin Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hunan Valin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Hunan Valin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hunan Valin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hunan Valin Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hunan Valin Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hunan Valin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hunan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hunan Valin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hunan Valin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.9 B |
Hunan Valin Technical Analysis
Hunan Valin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hunan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hunan Valin Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hunan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hunan Valin Predictive Forecast Models
Hunan Valin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hunan Valin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hunan Valin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hunan Valin Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hunan Valin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hunan Valin Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hunan Valin Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hunan Stock
Hunan Valin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hunan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hunan with respect to the benefits of owning Hunan Valin security.