Fujian Newland (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.57
| 000997 Stock | 21.37 1.76 8.98% |
Fujian |
Fujian Newland Target Price Odds to finish below 19.57
The tendency of Fujian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.57 or more in 90 days |
| 21.37 | 90 days | 19.57 | about 83.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fujian Newland to drop to 19.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.93 (This Fujian Newland Computer probability density function shows the probability of Fujian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fujian Newland Computer price to stay between 19.57 and its current price of 21.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fujian Newland Computer has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fujian Newland are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fujian Newland Computer is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fujian Newland Computer has an alpha of 0.9196, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fujian Newland Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fujian Newland
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Newland Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fujian Newland Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fujian Newland is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fujian Newland's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fujian Newland Computer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fujian Newland within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Fujian Newland Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fujian Newland for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fujian Newland Computer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fujian Newland appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Fujian Newland is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Fujian Newland Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fujian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fujian Newland's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fujian Newland's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 292.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.55 |
Fujian Newland Technical Analysis
Fujian Newland's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fujian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fujian Newland Computer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fujian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fujian Newland Predictive Forecast Models
Fujian Newland's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fujian Newland's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fujian Newland's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fujian Newland Computer
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fujian Newland for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fujian Newland Computer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fujian Newland appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Fujian Newland is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock
Fujian Newland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Newland security.