Inner Mongolia (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.54
| 001203 Stock | 9.58 0.29 2.94% |
Inner |
Inner Mongolia Target Price Odds to finish below 9.54
The tendency of Inner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.54 or more in 90 days |
| 9.58 | 90 days | 9.54 | about 81.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inner Mongolia to drop to 9.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.2 (This Inner Mongolia Dazhong probability density function shows the probability of Inner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inner Mongolia Dazhong price to stay between 9.54 and its current price of 9.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inner Mongolia Dazhong has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inner Mongolia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inner Mongolia Dazhong is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inner Mongolia Dazhong has an alpha of 0.4193, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inner Mongolia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inner Mongolia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inner Mongolia Dazhong. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inner Mongolia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inner Mongolia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inner Mongolia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inner Mongolia Dazhong, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inner Mongolia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Inner Mongolia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inner Mongolia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inner Mongolia Dazhong can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inner Mongolia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Inner Mongolia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inner Mongolia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inner Mongolia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Inner Mongolia Technical Analysis
Inner Mongolia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inner Mongolia Dazhong. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inner Mongolia Predictive Forecast Models
Inner Mongolia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inner Mongolia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inner Mongolia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inner Mongolia Dazhong
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inner Mongolia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inner Mongolia Dazhong help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inner Mongolia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Inner Stock
Inner Mongolia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inner Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inner with respect to the benefits of owning Inner Mongolia security.