Dongkuk Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7638.5

001230 Stock   7,400  90.00  1.20%   
Dongkuk Steel's future price is the expected price of Dongkuk Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongkuk Steel Mill performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongkuk Steel Backtesting, Dongkuk Steel Valuation, Dongkuk Steel Correlation, Dongkuk Steel Hype Analysis, Dongkuk Steel Volatility, Dongkuk Steel History as well as Dongkuk Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Dongkuk Steel's target price for which you would like Dongkuk Steel odds to be computed.

Dongkuk Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 7638.5

The tendency of Dongkuk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  7,638  after 90 days
 7,400 90 days 7,638 
about 16.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongkuk Steel to stay under  7,638  after 90 days from now is about 16.13 (This Dongkuk Steel Mill probability density function shows the probability of Dongkuk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dongkuk Steel Mill price to stay between its current price of  7,400  and  7,638  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongkuk Steel has a beta of 0.008. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dongkuk Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dongkuk Steel Mill will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dongkuk Steel Mill has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongkuk Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongkuk Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongkuk Steel Mill. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,3997,4007,401
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,9935,9948,140
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,4157,4167,417
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7,3377,4437,549
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongkuk Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongkuk Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongkuk Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongkuk Steel Mill.

Dongkuk Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongkuk Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongkuk Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongkuk Steel Mill, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongkuk Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
249.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Dongkuk Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongkuk Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongkuk Steel Mill can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongkuk Steel Mill generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dongkuk Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dongkuk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dongkuk Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dongkuk Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.5 M

Dongkuk Steel Technical Analysis

Dongkuk Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongkuk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongkuk Steel Mill. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongkuk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongkuk Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Dongkuk Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongkuk Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongkuk Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongkuk Steel Mill

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongkuk Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongkuk Steel Mill help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongkuk Steel Mill generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Dongkuk Stock

Dongkuk Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongkuk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongkuk with respect to the benefits of owning Dongkuk Steel security.