Golden Bridge (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 434.76

001290 Stock   436.00  7.00  1.58%   
Golden Bridge's future price is the expected price of Golden Bridge instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden Bridge Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden Bridge Backtesting, Golden Bridge Valuation, Golden Bridge Correlation, Golden Bridge Hype Analysis, Golden Bridge Volatility, Golden Bridge History as well as Golden Bridge Performance.
  
Please specify Golden Bridge's target price for which you would like Golden Bridge odds to be computed.

Golden Bridge Target Price Odds to finish below 434.76

The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  434.76  or more in 90 days
 436.00 90 days 434.76 
about 6.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Bridge to drop to  434.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.13 (This Golden Bridge Investment probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Bridge Investment price to stay between  434.76  and its current price of 436.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Golden Bridge has a beta of 0.068. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Golden Bridge average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golden Bridge Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Golden Bridge Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Golden Bridge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden Bridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Bridge Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
434.49436.00437.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
399.22400.73479.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
441.67443.18444.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
425.57437.70449.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golden Bridge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golden Bridge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golden Bridge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golden Bridge Investment.

Golden Bridge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Bridge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Bridge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Bridge Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Bridge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
18.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Golden Bridge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Bridge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Bridge Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Bridge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Golden Bridge Technical Analysis

Golden Bridge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Bridge Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden Bridge Predictive Forecast Models

Golden Bridge's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Bridge's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Bridge's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden Bridge Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Bridge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Bridge Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Bridge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Golden Stock

Golden Bridge financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Bridge security.