SeAH Bestee (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19281.1

001430 Stock   23,000  1,100  5.02%   
SeAH Bestee's future price is the expected price of SeAH Bestee instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SeAH Bestee performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SeAH Bestee Backtesting, SeAH Bestee Valuation, SeAH Bestee Correlation, SeAH Bestee Hype Analysis, SeAH Bestee Volatility, SeAH Bestee History as well as SeAH Bestee Performance.
  
Please specify SeAH Bestee's target price for which you would like SeAH Bestee odds to be computed.

SeAH Bestee Target Price Odds to finish over 19281.1

The tendency of SeAH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  19,281  in 90 days
 23,000 90 days 19,281 
about 81.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SeAH Bestee to stay above  19,281  in 90 days from now is about 81.78 (This SeAH Bestee probability density function shows the probability of SeAH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SeAH Bestee price to stay between  19,281  and its current price of 23000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SeAH Bestee will likely underperform. Additionally SeAH Bestee has an alpha of 0.0903, implying that it can generate a 0.0903 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SeAH Bestee Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SeAH Bestee

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SeAH Bestee. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,99623,00023,004
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22,33122,33525,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20,42320,42720,431
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,32222,30024,278
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SeAH Bestee. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SeAH Bestee's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SeAH Bestee's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SeAH Bestee.

SeAH Bestee Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SeAH Bestee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SeAH Bestee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SeAH Bestee, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SeAH Bestee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
1,476
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

SeAH Bestee Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SeAH Bestee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SeAH Bestee can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SeAH Bestee had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SeAH Bestee Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SeAH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SeAH Bestee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SeAH Bestee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.5 M

SeAH Bestee Technical Analysis

SeAH Bestee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SeAH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SeAH Bestee. In general, you should focus on analyzing SeAH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SeAH Bestee Predictive Forecast Models

SeAH Bestee's time-series forecasting models is one of many SeAH Bestee's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SeAH Bestee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SeAH Bestee

Checking the ongoing alerts about SeAH Bestee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SeAH Bestee help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SeAH Bestee had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SeAH Stock

SeAH Bestee financial ratios help investors to determine whether SeAH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SeAH with respect to the benefits of owning SeAH Bestee security.