HanS Laser (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.44

002008 Stock   25.68  0.58  2.31%   
HanS Laser's future price is the expected price of HanS Laser instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HanS Laser Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HanS Laser Backtesting, HanS Laser Valuation, HanS Laser Correlation, HanS Laser Hype Analysis, HanS Laser Volatility, HanS Laser History as well as HanS Laser Performance.
  
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HanS Laser Target Price Odds to finish below 14.44

The tendency of HanS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14.44  or more in 90 days
 25.68 90 days 14.44 
about 1.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HanS Laser to drop to  14.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.01 (This HanS Laser Tech probability density function shows the probability of HanS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HanS Laser Tech price to stay between  14.44  and its current price of 25.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HanS Laser has a beta of 0.0695. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HanS Laser average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HanS Laser Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HanS Laser Tech has an alpha of 0.3693, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HanS Laser Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HanS Laser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HanS Laser Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5925.9629.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1624.5327.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8824.2527.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

HanS Laser Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HanS Laser is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HanS Laser's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HanS Laser Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HanS Laser within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
3.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

HanS Laser Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HanS Laser for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HanS Laser Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HanS Laser Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Hans Laser Technology Industry Group Co., Ltd.s SZSE002008 Stock - Simply Wall St

HanS Laser Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HanS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HanS Laser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HanS Laser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

HanS Laser Technical Analysis

HanS Laser's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HanS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HanS Laser Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing HanS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HanS Laser Predictive Forecast Models

HanS Laser's time-series forecasting models is one of many HanS Laser's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HanS Laser's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HanS Laser Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about HanS Laser for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HanS Laser Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HanS Laser Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Hans Laser Technology Industry Group Co., Ltd.s SZSE002008 Stock - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in HanS Stock

HanS Laser financial ratios help investors to determine whether HanS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HanS with respect to the benefits of owning HanS Laser security.