Unigroup Guoxin (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.46
| 002049 Stock | 64.76 2.77 4.10% |
Unigroup |
Unigroup Guoxin Target Price Odds to finish below 63.46
The tendency of Unigroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 63.46 or more in 90 days |
| 64.76 | 90 days | 63.46 | about 66.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unigroup Guoxin to drop to 63.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.86 (This Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics probability density function shows the probability of Unigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unigroup Guoxin Micr price to stay between 63.46 and its current price of 64.76 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unigroup Guoxin has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Unigroup Guoxin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics has an alpha of 0.4186, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Unigroup Guoxin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Unigroup Guoxin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unigroup Guoxin Micr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unigroup Guoxin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unigroup Guoxin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unigroup Guoxin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unigroup Guoxin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Unigroup Guoxin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unigroup Guoxin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unigroup Guoxin Micr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Unigroup Guoxin Micr appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Unigroup Guoxin Micr is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is There Now An Opportunity In Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. - Simply Wall St |
Unigroup Guoxin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unigroup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unigroup Guoxin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unigroup Guoxin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 846.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Unigroup Guoxin Technical Analysis
Unigroup Guoxin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unigroup Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unigroup Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unigroup Guoxin Predictive Forecast Models
Unigroup Guoxin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unigroup Guoxin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unigroup Guoxin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unigroup Guoxin Micr
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unigroup Guoxin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unigroup Guoxin Micr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Unigroup Guoxin Micr appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Unigroup Guoxin Micr is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is There Now An Opportunity In Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Unigroup Stock
Unigroup Guoxin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unigroup Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unigroup with respect to the benefits of owning Unigroup Guoxin security.