Hanil Iron (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2035.0

002220 Stock   2,105  65.00  3.19%   
Hanil Iron's future price is the expected price of Hanil Iron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanil Iron Steel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanil Iron Backtesting, Hanil Iron Valuation, Hanil Iron Correlation, Hanil Iron Hype Analysis, Hanil Iron Volatility, Hanil Iron History as well as Hanil Iron Performance.
  
Please specify Hanil Iron's target price for which you would like Hanil Iron odds to be computed.

Hanil Iron Target Price Odds to finish below 2035.0

The tendency of Hanil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2,035  or more in 90 days
 2,105 90 days 2,035 
about 63.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanil Iron to drop to  2,035  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.45 (This Hanil Iron Steel probability density function shows the probability of Hanil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanil Iron Steel price to stay between  2,035  and its current price of 2105.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanil Iron has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hanil Iron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanil Iron Steel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanil Iron Steel has an alpha of 6.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 5.82E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanil Iron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanil Iron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanil Iron Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1542,1562,157
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,9202,0282,135
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanil Iron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanil Iron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanil Iron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanil Iron Steel.

Hanil Iron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanil Iron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanil Iron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanil Iron Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanil Iron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0006
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
45.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Hanil Iron Technical Analysis

Hanil Iron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanil Iron Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanil Iron Predictive Forecast Models

Hanil Iron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanil Iron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanil Iron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hanil Iron in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hanil Iron's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hanil Iron options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Hanil Stock

Hanil Iron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanil with respect to the benefits of owning Hanil Iron security.