Allwin Telecommunicatio (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.56
| 002231 Stock | 5.98 0.09 1.53% |
Allwin |
Allwin Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 10.56
The tendency of Allwin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.56 or more in 90 days |
| 5.98 | 90 days | 10.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allwin Telecommunicatio to move over 10.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allwin Telecommunication Co probability density function shows the probability of Allwin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allwin Telecommunicatio price to stay between its current price of 5.98 and 10.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allwin Telecommunication Co has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Allwin Telecommunicatio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Allwin Telecommunication Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Allwin Telecommunication Co has an alpha of 0.6716, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Allwin Telecommunicatio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allwin Telecommunicatio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allwin Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allwin Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allwin Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allwin Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allwin Telecommunication Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allwin Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Allwin Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allwin Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allwin Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allwin Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 235.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.32 M. | |
| Allwin Telecommunicatio generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Allwin Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allwin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allwin Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allwin Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 346.9 M |
Allwin Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis
Allwin Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allwin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allwin Telecommunication Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allwin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allwin Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models
Allwin Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allwin Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allwin Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allwin Telecommunicatio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allwin Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allwin Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allwin Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 235.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.32 M. | |
| Allwin Telecommunicatio generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Allwin Stock
Allwin Telecommunicatio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allwin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allwin with respect to the benefits of owning Allwin Telecommunicatio security.