Integrated Electronic (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.53

002339 Stock   7.41  0.04  0.54%   
Integrated Electronic's future price is the expected price of Integrated Electronic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Integrated Electronic Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Integrated Electronic Backtesting, Integrated Electronic Valuation, Integrated Electronic Correlation, Integrated Electronic Hype Analysis, Integrated Electronic Volatility, Integrated Electronic History as well as Integrated Electronic Performance.
  
Please specify Integrated Electronic's target price for which you would like Integrated Electronic odds to be computed.

Integrated Electronic Target Price Odds to finish over 6.53

The tendency of Integrated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  6.53  in 90 days
 7.41 90 days 6.53 
about 40.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrated Electronic to stay above  6.53  in 90 days from now is about 40.13 (This Integrated Electronic Systems probability density function shows the probability of Integrated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Integrated Electronic price to stay between  6.53  and its current price of 7.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Integrated Electronic has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Integrated Electronic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrated Electronic Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrated Electronic Systems has an alpha of 0.5319, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Integrated Electronic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Integrated Electronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.827.2510.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.466.8910.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.047.4810.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.607.247.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Integrated Electronic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Integrated Electronic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Integrated Electronic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Integrated Electronic.

Integrated Electronic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrated Electronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrated Electronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrated Electronic Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrated Electronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Integrated Electronic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrated Electronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrated Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integrated Electronic appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Top 10 EMS Stocks Targeting Over 20 percent Revenue Growth in FY25 - Equitymaster

Integrated Electronic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Integrated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Integrated Electronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integrated Electronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding504.1 M

Integrated Electronic Technical Analysis

Integrated Electronic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrated Electronic Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Integrated Electronic Predictive Forecast Models

Integrated Electronic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrated Electronic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrated Electronic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Integrated Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrated Electronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrated Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integrated Electronic appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Top 10 EMS Stocks Targeting Over 20 percent Revenue Growth in FY25 - Equitymaster

Other Information on Investing in Integrated Stock

Integrated Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Integrated Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Integrated with respect to the benefits of owning Integrated Electronic security.