SH Energy (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 555.60

002360 Stock   527.00  17.00  3.12%   
SH Energy's future price is the expected price of SH Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SH Energy Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SH Energy Backtesting, SH Energy Valuation, SH Energy Correlation, SH Energy Hype Analysis, SH Energy Volatility, SH Energy History as well as SH Energy Performance.
  
Please specify SH Energy's target price for which you would like SH Energy odds to be computed.

SH Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 555.60

The tendency of 002360 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  555.60  or more in 90 days
 527.00 90 days 555.60 
about 11.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SH Energy to move over  555.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.64 (This SH Energy Chemical probability density function shows the probability of 002360 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SH Energy Chemical price to stay between its current price of  527.00  and  555.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SH Energy has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SH Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SH Energy Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SH Energy Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SH Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SH Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SH Energy Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
523.85527.00530.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
450.03453.18579.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
498.66501.81504.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
529.19550.10571.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SH Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SH Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SH Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SH Energy Chemical.

SH Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SH Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SH Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SH Energy Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SH Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
19.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

SH Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SH Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SH Energy Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SH Energy Chemical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

SH Energy Technical Analysis

SH Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 002360 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SH Energy Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing 002360 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SH Energy Predictive Forecast Models

SH Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many SH Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SH Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SH Energy Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about SH Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SH Energy Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SH Energy Chemical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 002360 Stock

SH Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether 002360 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 002360 with respect to the benefits of owning SH Energy security.