Zhejiang Weixing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.28

002372 Stock   13.00  0.19  1.48%   
Zhejiang Weixing's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang Weixing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang Weixing New performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang Weixing Backtesting, Zhejiang Weixing Valuation, Zhejiang Weixing Correlation, Zhejiang Weixing Hype Analysis, Zhejiang Weixing Volatility, Zhejiang Weixing History as well as Zhejiang Weixing Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang Weixing's target price for which you would like Zhejiang Weixing odds to be computed.

Zhejiang Weixing Target Price Odds to finish below 9.28

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.28  or more in 90 days
 13.00 90 days 9.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Weixing to drop to  9.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Zhejiang Weixing New probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang Weixing New price to stay between  9.28  and its current price of 13.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Weixing has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zhejiang Weixing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhejiang Weixing New will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhejiang Weixing New has an alpha of 0.0497, implying that it can generate a 0.0497 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhejiang Weixing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Weixing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Weixing New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4212.9416.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.3510.8714.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4412.9616.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.170.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Weixing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Weixing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Weixing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Weixing New.

Zhejiang Weixing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Weixing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Weixing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Weixing New, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Weixing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Zhejiang Weixing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Weixing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Weixing New can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Weixing New had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do Zhejiang Weixing Industrial Developments Earnings Warrant Your Attention - Simply Wall St

Zhejiang Weixing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Weixing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Weixing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B

Zhejiang Weixing Technical Analysis

Zhejiang Weixing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Weixing New. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang Weixing Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang Weixing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Weixing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Weixing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang Weixing New

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Weixing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Weixing New help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Weixing New had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do Zhejiang Weixing Industrial Developments Earnings Warrant Your Attention - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Weixing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Weixing security.