Do Fluoride (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.96

002407 Stock   13.81  0.74  5.09%   
Do Fluoride's future price is the expected price of Do Fluoride instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Do Fluoride Chemicals Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Do Fluoride Backtesting, Do Fluoride Valuation, Do Fluoride Correlation, Do Fluoride Hype Analysis, Do Fluoride Volatility, Do Fluoride History as well as Do Fluoride Performance.
  
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Do Fluoride Target Price Odds to finish below 12.96

The tendency of 002407 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  12.96  or more in 90 days
 13.81 90 days 12.96 
about 81.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Do Fluoride to drop to  12.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 81.27 (This Do Fluoride Chemicals Co probability density function shows the probability of 002407 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Do Fluoride Chemicals price to stay between  12.96  and its current price of 13.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Do Fluoride Chemicals Co has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Do Fluoride are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Do Fluoride Chemicals Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Do Fluoride Chemicals Co has an alpha of 0.6801, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Do Fluoride Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Do Fluoride

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Do Fluoride Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2814.0817.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1612.9616.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4214.2118.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7112.5714.44
Details

Do Fluoride Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Do Fluoride is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Do Fluoride's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Do Fluoride Chemicals Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Do Fluoride within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Do Fluoride Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Do Fluoride for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Do Fluoride Chemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Do Fluoride appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Do Fluoride Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 002407 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Do Fluoride's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Do Fluoride's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Do Fluoride Technical Analysis

Do Fluoride's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 002407 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Do Fluoride Chemicals Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 002407 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Do Fluoride Predictive Forecast Models

Do Fluoride's time-series forecasting models is one of many Do Fluoride's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Do Fluoride's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Do Fluoride Chemicals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Do Fluoride for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Do Fluoride Chemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Do Fluoride appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 002407 Stock

Do Fluoride financial ratios help investors to determine whether 002407 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 002407 with respect to the benefits of owning Do Fluoride security.