Samick Musical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1106.95
| 002450 Stock | 1,110 2.00 0.18% |
Samick |
Samick Musical Target Price Odds to finish below 1106.95
The tendency of Samick Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,107 or more in 90 days |
| 1,110 | 90 days | 1,107 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samick Musical to drop to 1,107 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Samick Musical Instruments probability density function shows the probability of Samick Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samick Musical Instr price to stay between 1,107 and its current price of 1110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samick Musical has a beta of 0.0857. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Samick Musical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Samick Musical Instruments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Samick Musical Instruments has an alpha of 0.0481, implying that it can generate a 0.0481 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Samick Musical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Samick Musical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samick Musical Instr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Samick Musical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samick Musical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samick Musical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samick Musical Instruments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samick Musical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Samick Musical Technical Analysis
Samick Musical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samick Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samick Musical Instruments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samick Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Samick Musical Predictive Forecast Models
Samick Musical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Samick Musical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samick Musical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Samick Musical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Samick Musical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Samick Musical options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Samick Stock
Samick Musical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samick Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samick with respect to the benefits of owning Samick Musical security.