Shandong Polymer (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.58
| 002476 Stock | 4.64 0.02 0.43% |
Shandong |
Shandong Polymer Target Price Odds to finish below 4.58
The tendency of Shandong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.58 or more in 90 days |
| 4.64 | 90 days | 4.58 | about 84.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shandong Polymer to drop to 4.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.53 (This Shandong Polymer Biochemicals probability density function shows the probability of Shandong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shandong Polymer Bio price to stay between 4.58 and its current price of 4.64 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shandong Polymer has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shandong Polymer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shandong Polymer Biochemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shandong Polymer Biochemicals has an alpha of 0.3716, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shandong Polymer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shandong Polymer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shandong Polymer Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shandong Polymer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shandong Polymer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shandong Polymer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shandong Polymer Biochemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shandong Polymer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Shandong Polymer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shandong Polymer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shandong Polymer Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shandong Polymer Bio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shandong Polymer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shandong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shandong Polymer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Polymer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 608.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267.1 M |
Shandong Polymer Technical Analysis
Shandong Polymer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shandong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shandong Polymer Biochemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shandong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shandong Polymer Predictive Forecast Models
Shandong Polymer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shandong Polymer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shandong Polymer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shandong Polymer Bio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shandong Polymer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shandong Polymer Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shandong Polymer Bio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock
Shandong Polymer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Polymer security.