Sichuan Yahua (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.69
| 002497 Stock | 11.89 0.43 3.75% |
Sichuan |
Sichuan Yahua Target Price Odds to finish below 11.69
The tendency of Sichuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.69 or more in 90 days |
| 11.89 | 90 days | 11.69 | about 89.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sichuan Yahua to drop to 11.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.81 (This Sichuan Yahua Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Sichuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sichuan Yahua Industrial price to stay between 11.69 and its current price of 11.89 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sichuan Yahua Industrial has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sichuan Yahua are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sichuan Yahua Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sichuan Yahua Industrial has an alpha of 0.6345, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sichuan Yahua Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sichuan Yahua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sichuan Yahua Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sichuan Yahua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sichuan Yahua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sichuan Yahua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sichuan Yahua Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sichuan Yahua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Sichuan Yahua Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sichuan Yahua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sichuan Yahua Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sichuan Yahua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sichuan Yahua Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sichuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sichuan Yahua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sichuan Yahua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Sichuan Yahua Technical Analysis
Sichuan Yahua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sichuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sichuan Yahua Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sichuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sichuan Yahua Predictive Forecast Models
Sichuan Yahua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sichuan Yahua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sichuan Yahua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sichuan Yahua Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sichuan Yahua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sichuan Yahua Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sichuan Yahua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Sichuan Stock
Sichuan Yahua financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sichuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sichuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sichuan Yahua security.