Anhui Huilong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.71
| 002556 Stock | 6.37 0.04 0.62% |
Anhui |
Anhui Huilong Target Price Odds to finish below 3.71
The tendency of Anhui Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.71 or more in 90 days |
| 6.37 | 90 days | 3.71 | about 1.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anhui Huilong to drop to 3.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.31 (This Anhui Huilong Agricultural probability density function shows the probability of Anhui Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anhui Huilong Agricu price to stay between 3.71 and its current price of 6.37 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anhui Huilong Agricultural has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anhui Huilong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anhui Huilong Agricultural is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anhui Huilong Agricultural has an alpha of 0.5418, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anhui Huilong Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anhui Huilong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anhui Huilong Agricu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anhui Huilong Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anhui Huilong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anhui Huilong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anhui Huilong Agricultural, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anhui Huilong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Anhui Huilong Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anhui Huilong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anhui Huilong Agricu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anhui Huilong Agricu appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Anhui Huilong Agricu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Anhui Huilong generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Yong Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Anhui Huilong Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anhui Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anhui Huilong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anhui Huilong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 954 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 370 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.2 |
Anhui Huilong Technical Analysis
Anhui Huilong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anhui Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anhui Huilong Agricultural. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anhui Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anhui Huilong Predictive Forecast Models
Anhui Huilong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anhui Huilong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anhui Huilong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anhui Huilong Agricu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anhui Huilong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anhui Huilong Agricu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anhui Huilong Agricu appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Anhui Huilong Agricu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Anhui Huilong generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Yong Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock
Anhui Huilong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Huilong security.