Offcn Education (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.94
| 002607 Stock | 3.03 0.12 3.81% |
Offcn |
Offcn Education Target Price Odds to finish below 2.94
The tendency of Offcn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.94 or more in 90 days |
| 3.03 | 90 days | 2.94 | about 71.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Offcn Education to drop to 2.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.46 (This Offcn Education Technology probability density function shows the probability of Offcn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Offcn Education Tech price to stay between 2.94 and its current price of 3.03 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Offcn Education Technology has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Offcn Education are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Offcn Education Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Offcn Education Technology has an alpha of 0.8353, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Offcn Education Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Offcn Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Offcn Education Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Offcn Education Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Offcn Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Offcn Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Offcn Education Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Offcn Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Offcn Education Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Offcn Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Offcn Education Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Offcn Education Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (209.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.85 B. | |
| Offcn Education generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: October 2024s Leading Growth Companies With Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St |
Offcn Education Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Offcn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Offcn Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Offcn Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 B |
Offcn Education Technical Analysis
Offcn Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Offcn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Offcn Education Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Offcn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Offcn Education Predictive Forecast Models
Offcn Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many Offcn Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Offcn Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Offcn Education Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Offcn Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Offcn Education Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Offcn Education Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (209.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.85 B. | |
| Offcn Education generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: October 2024s Leading Growth Companies With Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Offcn Stock
Offcn Education financial ratios help investors to determine whether Offcn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Offcn with respect to the benefits of owning Offcn Education security.