Hubeiyichang Transportation (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.31
| 002627 Stock | 5.36 0.04 0.75% |
Hubeiyichang |
Hubeiyichang Transportation Target Price Odds to finish below 5.31
The tendency of Hubeiyichang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.31 or more in 90 days |
| 5.36 | 90 days | 5.31 | about 90.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hubeiyichang Transportation to drop to 5.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.4 (This Hubeiyichang Transportation Group probability density function shows the probability of Hubeiyichang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hubeiyichang Transportation price to stay between 5.31 and its current price of 5.36 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hubeiyichang Transportation has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hubeiyichang Transportation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hubeiyichang Transportation Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hubeiyichang Transportation Group has an alpha of 0.1748, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hubeiyichang Transportation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hubeiyichang Transportation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubeiyichang Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hubeiyichang Transportation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hubeiyichang Transportation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hubeiyichang Transportation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hubeiyichang Transportation Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hubeiyichang Transportation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hubeiyichang Transportation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hubeiyichang Transportation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hubeiyichang Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hubeiyichang Transportation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hubeiyichang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hubeiyichang Transportation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hubeiyichang Transportation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 738.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 13.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Hubeiyichang Transportation Technical Analysis
Hubeiyichang Transportation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hubeiyichang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hubeiyichang Transportation Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hubeiyichang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hubeiyichang Transportation Predictive Forecast Models
Hubeiyichang Transportation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hubeiyichang Transportation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hubeiyichang Transportation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hubeiyichang Transportation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hubeiyichang Transportation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hubeiyichang Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hubeiyichang Stock
Hubeiyichang Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hubeiyichang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hubeiyichang with respect to the benefits of owning Hubeiyichang Transportation security.