ZheJiang BangJie (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.39

002634 Stock   4.39  0.13  3.05%   
ZheJiang BangJie's future price is the expected price of ZheJiang BangJie instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ZheJiang BangJie Digital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ZheJiang BangJie Backtesting, ZheJiang BangJie Valuation, ZheJiang BangJie Correlation, ZheJiang BangJie Hype Analysis, ZheJiang BangJie Volatility, ZheJiang BangJie History as well as ZheJiang BangJie Performance.
  
Please specify ZheJiang BangJie's target price for which you would like ZheJiang BangJie odds to be computed.

ZheJiang BangJie Target Price Odds to finish over 4.39

The tendency of ZheJiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.39 90 days 4.39 
about 7.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ZheJiang BangJie to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.46 (This ZheJiang BangJie Digital probability density function shows the probability of ZheJiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ZheJiang BangJie Digital has a beta of -0.4. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ZheJiang BangJie are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ZheJiang BangJie Digital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ZheJiang BangJie Digital has an alpha of 0.7607, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ZheJiang BangJie Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ZheJiang BangJie

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZheJiang BangJie Digital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.399.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.468.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.074.849.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.594.164.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ZheJiang BangJie. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ZheJiang BangJie's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ZheJiang BangJie's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ZheJiang BangJie Digital.

ZheJiang BangJie Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ZheJiang BangJie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ZheJiang BangJie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ZheJiang BangJie Digital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ZheJiang BangJie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

ZheJiang BangJie Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ZheJiang BangJie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ZheJiang BangJie Digital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZheJiang BangJie appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 763.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (88.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.57 M.
ZheJiang BangJie generates negative cash flow from operations
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ZheJiang BangJie Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ZheJiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ZheJiang BangJie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ZheJiang BangJie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding474.1 M

ZheJiang BangJie Technical Analysis

ZheJiang BangJie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ZheJiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ZheJiang BangJie Digital. In general, you should focus on analyzing ZheJiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ZheJiang BangJie Predictive Forecast Models

ZheJiang BangJie's time-series forecasting models is one of many ZheJiang BangJie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ZheJiang BangJie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ZheJiang BangJie Digital

Checking the ongoing alerts about ZheJiang BangJie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ZheJiang BangJie Digital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZheJiang BangJie appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 763.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (88.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.57 M.
ZheJiang BangJie generates negative cash flow from operations
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ZheJiang Stock

ZheJiang BangJie financial ratios help investors to determine whether ZheJiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ZheJiang with respect to the benefits of owning ZheJiang BangJie security.