Qinghai Huzhu (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.92
| 002646 Stock | 10.83 0.11 1.03% |
Qinghai |
Qinghai Huzhu Target Price Odds to finish below 7.92
The tendency of Qinghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.92 or more in 90 days |
| 10.83 | 90 days | 7.92 | about 1.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qinghai Huzhu to drop to 7.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.39 (This Qinghai Huzhu Barley probability density function shows the probability of Qinghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qinghai Huzhu Barley price to stay between 7.92 and its current price of 10.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qinghai Huzhu has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Qinghai Huzhu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qinghai Huzhu Barley will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qinghai Huzhu Barley has an alpha of 0.2613, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qinghai Huzhu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qinghai Huzhu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qinghai Huzhu Barley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qinghai Huzhu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qinghai Huzhu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qinghai Huzhu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qinghai Huzhu Barley, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qinghai Huzhu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Qinghai Huzhu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qinghai Huzhu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qinghai Huzhu Barley can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qinghai Huzhu Barley had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Qinghai Huzhu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qinghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qinghai Huzhu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qinghai Huzhu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 482 M |
Qinghai Huzhu Technical Analysis
Qinghai Huzhu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qinghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qinghai Huzhu Barley. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qinghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qinghai Huzhu Predictive Forecast Models
Qinghai Huzhu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qinghai Huzhu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qinghai Huzhu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qinghai Huzhu Barley
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qinghai Huzhu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qinghai Huzhu Barley help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qinghai Huzhu Barley had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Qinghai Stock
Qinghai Huzhu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qinghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qinghai with respect to the benefits of owning Qinghai Huzhu security.