Beijing Kaiwen (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.96

002659 Stock   5.27  0.02  0.38%   
Beijing Kaiwen's future price is the expected price of Beijing Kaiwen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Kaiwen Education performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Kaiwen Backtesting, Beijing Kaiwen Valuation, Beijing Kaiwen Correlation, Beijing Kaiwen Hype Analysis, Beijing Kaiwen Volatility, Beijing Kaiwen History as well as Beijing Kaiwen Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Kaiwen's target price for which you would like Beijing Kaiwen odds to be computed.

Beijing Kaiwen Target Price Odds to finish over 3.96

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  3.96  in 90 days
 5.27 90 days 3.96 
about 82.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Kaiwen to stay above  3.96  in 90 days from now is about 82.55 (This Beijing Kaiwen Education probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Kaiwen Education price to stay between  3.96  and its current price of 5.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Kaiwen Education has a beta of -0.0972. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Beijing Kaiwen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Beijing Kaiwen Education is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Beijing Kaiwen Education has an alpha of 0.7293, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Kaiwen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Kaiwen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Kaiwen Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.995.129.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.118.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Kaiwen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Kaiwen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Kaiwen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Kaiwen Education.

Beijing Kaiwen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Kaiwen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Kaiwen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Kaiwen Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Kaiwen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Beijing Kaiwen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Kaiwen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Kaiwen Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Kaiwen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 253.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.65 M.
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Expect Beijing Kaiwen Education Technology Co., Ltd To Breakeven Soon - Simply Wall St

Beijing Kaiwen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Kaiwen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Kaiwen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding598.3 M

Beijing Kaiwen Technical Analysis

Beijing Kaiwen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Kaiwen Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Kaiwen Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Kaiwen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Kaiwen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Kaiwen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Kaiwen Education

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Kaiwen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Kaiwen Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Kaiwen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 253.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.65 M.
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Expect Beijing Kaiwen Education Technology Co., Ltd To Breakeven Soon - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Kaiwen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Kaiwen security.