HaiXin Foods (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.68

002702 Stock   4.61  0.10  2.22%   
HaiXin Foods' future price is the expected price of HaiXin Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HaiXin Foods Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HaiXin Foods Backtesting, HaiXin Foods Valuation, HaiXin Foods Correlation, HaiXin Foods Hype Analysis, HaiXin Foods Volatility, HaiXin Foods History as well as HaiXin Foods Performance.
  
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HaiXin Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 13.68

The tendency of HaiXin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.68  or more in 90 days
 4.61 90 days 13.68 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HaiXin Foods to move over  13.68  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This HaiXin Foods Co probability density function shows the probability of HaiXin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HaiXin Foods price to stay between its current price of  4.61  and  13.68  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HaiXin Foods has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HaiXin Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HaiXin Foods Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HaiXin Foods Co has an alpha of 0.548, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HaiXin Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HaiXin Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HaiXin Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.214.618.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.594.998.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.154.557.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.874.254.63
Details

HaiXin Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HaiXin Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HaiXin Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HaiXin Foods Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HaiXin Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

HaiXin Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HaiXin Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HaiXin Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HaiXin Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
HaiXin Foods generates negative cash flow from operations
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

HaiXin Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HaiXin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HaiXin Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HaiXin Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding555.8 M

HaiXin Foods Technical Analysis

HaiXin Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HaiXin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HaiXin Foods Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing HaiXin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HaiXin Foods Predictive Forecast Models

HaiXin Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many HaiXin Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HaiXin Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HaiXin Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about HaiXin Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HaiXin Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HaiXin Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
HaiXin Foods generates negative cash flow from operations
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in HaiXin Stock

HaiXin Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether HaiXin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HaiXin with respect to the benefits of owning HaiXin Foods security.