Geron (China) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.8
| 002722 Stock | 16.90 0.34 2.05% |
Geron |
Geron Target Price Odds to finish below 16.8
The tendency of Geron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.80 or more in 90 days |
| 16.90 | 90 days | 16.80 | about 92.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geron to drop to 16.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.32 (This Geron Co probability density function shows the probability of Geron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geron price to stay between 16.80 and its current price of 16.9 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Geron has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Geron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Geron Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Geron Co has an alpha of 0.6305, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Geron Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geron
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Geron Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geron Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Geron Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geron appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Geron Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206.6 M |
Geron Technical Analysis
Geron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geron Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Geron Predictive Forecast Models
Geron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Geron
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Geron appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Geron Stock
Geron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geron with respect to the benefits of owning Geron security.