Zhejiang Yueling (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.75

002725 Stock   13.38  0.13  0.96%   
Zhejiang Yueling's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang Yueling instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang Yueling Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang Yueling Backtesting, Zhejiang Yueling Valuation, Zhejiang Yueling Correlation, Zhejiang Yueling Hype Analysis, Zhejiang Yueling Volatility, Zhejiang Yueling History as well as Zhejiang Yueling Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang Yueling's target price for which you would like Zhejiang Yueling odds to be computed.

Zhejiang Yueling Target Price Odds to finish below 15.75

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  15.75  after 90 days
 13.38 90 days 15.75 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Yueling to stay under  15.75  after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Zhejiang Yueling Co probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang Yueling price to stay between its current price of  13.38  and  15.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Yueling Co has a beta of -1.14. This suggests Moreover Zhejiang Yueling Co has an alpha of 1.0095, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhejiang Yueling Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Yueling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Yueling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1514.4119.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.8411.1016.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1815.4320.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5512.8514.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Yueling. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Yueling's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Yueling's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Yueling.

Zhejiang Yueling Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Yueling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Yueling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Yueling Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Yueling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Zhejiang Yueling Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Yueling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Yueling can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Yueling is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Zhejiang Yueling appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 639.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 79.6 M.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Zhejiang Yueling swells 13 percent this week, taking five-year gains to 45 percent - Simply Wall St

Zhejiang Yueling Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Yueling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Yueling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding256 M

Zhejiang Yueling Technical Analysis

Zhejiang Yueling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Yueling Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang Yueling Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang Yueling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Yueling's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Yueling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang Yueling

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Yueling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Yueling help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Yueling is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Zhejiang Yueling appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 639.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 79.6 M.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Zhejiang Yueling swells 13 percent this week, taking five-year gains to 45 percent - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Yueling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Yueling security.