Wanda Cinema (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.93

002739 Stock   13.54  0.54  4.15%   
Wanda Cinema's future price is the expected price of Wanda Cinema instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wanda Cinema Line performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wanda Cinema Backtesting, Wanda Cinema Valuation, Wanda Cinema Correlation, Wanda Cinema Hype Analysis, Wanda Cinema Volatility, Wanda Cinema History as well as Wanda Cinema Performance.
  
Please specify Wanda Cinema's target price for which you would like Wanda Cinema odds to be computed.

Wanda Cinema Target Price Odds to finish over 13.93

The tendency of Wanda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.93  or more in 90 days
 13.54 90 days 13.93 
about 1.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wanda Cinema to move over  13.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.58 (This Wanda Cinema Line probability density function shows the probability of Wanda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wanda Cinema Line price to stay between its current price of  13.54  and  13.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wanda Cinema Line has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wanda Cinema are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wanda Cinema Line is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wanda Cinema Line has an alpha of 0.496, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wanda Cinema Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wanda Cinema

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wanda Cinema Line. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8413.1816.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.0010.3413.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3213.6616.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.19-0.14-0.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wanda Cinema. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wanda Cinema's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wanda Cinema's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wanda Cinema Line.

Wanda Cinema Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wanda Cinema is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wanda Cinema's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wanda Cinema Line, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wanda Cinema within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Wanda Cinema Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wanda Cinema for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wanda Cinema Line can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wanda Cinema Line appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Individual investors among Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd.s largest stockholders and were hit after last weeks 4.1 percent price drop - Simply Wall St

Wanda Cinema Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wanda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wanda Cinema's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wanda Cinema's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B

Wanda Cinema Technical Analysis

Wanda Cinema's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wanda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wanda Cinema Line. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wanda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wanda Cinema Predictive Forecast Models

Wanda Cinema's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wanda Cinema's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wanda Cinema's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wanda Cinema Line

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wanda Cinema for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wanda Cinema Line help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wanda Cinema Line appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Individual investors among Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd.s largest stockholders and were hit after last weeks 4.1 percent price drop - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Wanda Stock

Wanda Cinema financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wanda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wanda with respect to the benefits of owning Wanda Cinema security.