Asymchem Laboratories (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.09
| 002821 Stock | 83.90 2.25 2.76% |
Asymchem |
Asymchem Laboratories Target Price Odds to finish below 81.09
The tendency of Asymchem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 81.09 or more in 90 days |
| 83.90 | 90 days | 81.09 | about 72.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asymchem Laboratories to drop to 81.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 72.49 (This Asymchem Laboratories Tian probability density function shows the probability of Asymchem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asymchem Laboratories price to stay between 81.09 and its current price of 83.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asymchem Laboratories Tian has a beta of -0.56. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asymchem Laboratories are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asymchem Laboratories Tian is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asymchem Laboratories Tian has an alpha of 0.4749, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Asymchem Laboratories Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asymchem Laboratories
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asymchem Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asymchem Laboratories Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asymchem Laboratories is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asymchem Laboratories' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asymchem Laboratories Tian, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asymchem Laboratories within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Asymchem Laboratories Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asymchem Laboratories for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asymchem Laboratories can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asymchem Laboratories appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Asymchem Laboratories is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Asymchem Laboratories Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asymchem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asymchem Laboratories' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asymchem Laboratories' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 369.7 M |
Asymchem Laboratories Technical Analysis
Asymchem Laboratories' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asymchem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asymchem Laboratories Tian. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asymchem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asymchem Laboratories Predictive Forecast Models
Asymchem Laboratories' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asymchem Laboratories' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asymchem Laboratories' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asymchem Laboratories
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asymchem Laboratories for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asymchem Laboratories help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asymchem Laboratories appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Asymchem Laboratories is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Asymchem Stock
Asymchem Laboratories financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asymchem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asymchem with respect to the benefits of owning Asymchem Laboratories security.