Dongguan Chitwing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.47
| 002855 Stock | 23.06 0.81 3.39% |
Dongguan |
Dongguan Chitwing Target Price Odds to finish below 21.47
The tendency of Dongguan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.47 or more in 90 days |
| 23.06 | 90 days | 21.47 | about 44.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongguan Chitwing to drop to 21.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.79 (This Dongguan Chitwing Technology probability density function shows the probability of Dongguan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dongguan Chitwing price to stay between 21.47 and its current price of 23.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongguan Chitwing has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dongguan Chitwing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dongguan Chitwing Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dongguan Chitwing Technology has an alpha of 0.4724, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dongguan Chitwing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dongguan Chitwing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongguan Chitwing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dongguan Chitwing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongguan Chitwing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongguan Chitwing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongguan Chitwing Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongguan Chitwing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Dongguan Chitwing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongguan Chitwing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongguan Chitwing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dongguan Chitwing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.53 M. | |
| Dongguan Chitwing generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Dongguan Chitwing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dongguan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dongguan Chitwing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dongguan Chitwing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 246.4 M |
Dongguan Chitwing Technical Analysis
Dongguan Chitwing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongguan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongguan Chitwing Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongguan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dongguan Chitwing Predictive Forecast Models
Dongguan Chitwing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongguan Chitwing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongguan Chitwing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dongguan Chitwing
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongguan Chitwing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongguan Chitwing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dongguan Chitwing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.53 M. | |
| Dongguan Chitwing generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Dongguan Stock
Dongguan Chitwing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongguan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongguan with respect to the benefits of owning Dongguan Chitwing security.