Impulse Qingdao (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.27

002899 Stock   19.10  1.35  6.60%   
Impulse Qingdao's future price is the expected price of Impulse Qingdao instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Impulse Qingdao Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Impulse Qingdao Backtesting, Impulse Qingdao Valuation, Impulse Qingdao Correlation, Impulse Qingdao Hype Analysis, Impulse Qingdao Volatility, Impulse Qingdao History as well as Impulse Qingdao Performance.
  
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Impulse Qingdao Target Price Odds to finish over 19.27

The tendency of Impulse Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.27  or more in 90 days
 19.10 90 days 19.27 
about 13.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impulse Qingdao to move over  19.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.05 (This Impulse Qingdao Health probability density function shows the probability of Impulse Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impulse Qingdao Health price to stay between its current price of  19.10  and  19.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impulse Qingdao Health has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Impulse Qingdao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Impulse Qingdao Health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Impulse Qingdao Health has an alpha of 0.7865, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Impulse Qingdao Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Impulse Qingdao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impulse Qingdao Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5019.6923.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8915.0819.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7018.8923.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.2819.5520.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Impulse Qingdao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Impulse Qingdao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Impulse Qingdao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Impulse Qingdao Health.

Impulse Qingdao Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impulse Qingdao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impulse Qingdao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impulse Qingdao Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impulse Qingdao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
3.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Impulse Qingdao Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impulse Qingdao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impulse Qingdao Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impulse Qingdao appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Impulse Qingdao Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impulse Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impulse Qingdao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impulse Qingdao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments497.7 M

Impulse Qingdao Technical Analysis

Impulse Qingdao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impulse Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impulse Qingdao Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impulse Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Impulse Qingdao Predictive Forecast Models

Impulse Qingdao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impulse Qingdao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impulse Qingdao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Impulse Qingdao Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Impulse Qingdao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impulse Qingdao Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impulse Qingdao appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Impulse Stock

Impulse Qingdao financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impulse Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impulse with respect to the benefits of owning Impulse Qingdao security.