Kumho Industrial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3255.0

002990 Stock   2,915  210.00  6.72%   
Kumho Industrial's future price is the expected price of Kumho Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kumho Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kumho Industrial Backtesting, Kumho Industrial Valuation, Kumho Industrial Correlation, Kumho Industrial Hype Analysis, Kumho Industrial Volatility, Kumho Industrial History as well as Kumho Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Kumho Industrial's target price for which you would like Kumho Industrial odds to be computed.

Kumho Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 3255.0

The tendency of Kumho Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3,255  or more in 90 days
 2,915 90 days 3,255 
about 28.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kumho Industrial to move over  3,255  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.59 (This Kumho Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Kumho Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kumho Industrial price to stay between its current price of  2,915  and  3,255  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kumho Industrial has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kumho Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kumho Industrial Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kumho Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kumho Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kumho Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kumho Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9132,9152,917
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6243,0153,017
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,0783,0803,082
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,6592,8583,057
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kumho Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kumho Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kumho Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kumho Industrial.

Kumho Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kumho Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kumho Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kumho Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kumho Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
253.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Kumho Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kumho Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kumho Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kumho Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kumho Industrial Technical Analysis

Kumho Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kumho Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kumho Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kumho Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kumho Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Kumho Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kumho Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kumho Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kumho Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kumho Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kumho Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kumho Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kumho Stock

Kumho Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kumho Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kumho with respect to the benefits of owning Kumho Industrial security.