Gan Yuan (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.33
| 002991 Stock | 78.58 0.31 0.39% |
Gan |
Gan Yuan Target Price Odds to finish over 59.33
The tendency of Gan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 59.33 in 90 days |
| 78.58 | 90 days | 59.33 | about 63.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gan Yuan to stay above 59.33 in 90 days from now is about 63.45 (This Gan Yuan Foods probability density function shows the probability of Gan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gan Yuan Foods price to stay between 59.33 and its current price of 78.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gan Yuan has a beta of 0.0764. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Gan Yuan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gan Yuan Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gan Yuan Foods has an alpha of 0.8154, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gan Yuan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gan Yuan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gan Yuan Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gan Yuan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gan Yuan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gan Yuan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gan Yuan Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gan Yuan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Gan Yuan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gan Yuan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gan Yuan Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gan Yuan Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Gan Yuan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gan Yuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gan Yuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.2 M |
Gan Yuan Technical Analysis
Gan Yuan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gan Yuan Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gan Yuan Predictive Forecast Models
Gan Yuan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gan Yuan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gan Yuan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gan Yuan Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gan Yuan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gan Yuan Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gan Yuan Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Gan Stock
Gan Yuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gan with respect to the benefits of owning Gan Yuan security.