Beijing Quanshi (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.68

002995 Stock   24.47  0.18  0.74%   
Beijing Quanshi's future price is the expected price of Beijing Quanshi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Quanshi World performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Quanshi Backtesting, Beijing Quanshi Valuation, Beijing Quanshi Correlation, Beijing Quanshi Hype Analysis, Beijing Quanshi Volatility, Beijing Quanshi History as well as Beijing Quanshi Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Quanshi's target price for which you would like Beijing Quanshi odds to be computed.

Beijing Quanshi Target Price Odds to finish over 25.68

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  25.68  or more in 90 days
 24.47 90 days 25.68 
nearly 4.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Quanshi to move over  25.68  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.17 (This Beijing Quanshi World probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Quanshi World price to stay between its current price of  24.47  and  25.68  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Quanshi World has a beta of -2.02. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Beijing Quanshi World are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Beijing Quanshi is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Beijing Quanshi World has an alpha of 1.2371, implying that it can generate a 1.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Quanshi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Quanshi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Quanshi World. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9024.4730.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0518.6226.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9124.4830.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4221.3026.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Quanshi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Quanshi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Quanshi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Quanshi World.

Beijing Quanshi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Quanshi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Quanshi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Quanshi World, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Quanshi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Beijing Quanshi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Quanshi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Quanshi World can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Quanshi is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Beijing Quanshi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (26.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 187.43 M.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Quanshi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Quanshi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Quanshi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding177.5 M

Beijing Quanshi Technical Analysis

Beijing Quanshi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Quanshi World. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Quanshi Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Quanshi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Quanshi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Quanshi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Quanshi World

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Quanshi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Quanshi World help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Quanshi is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Beijing Quanshi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (26.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 187.43 M.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Quanshi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Quanshi security.