Seah Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 159467.0

003030 Stock   171,500  3,300  1.89%   
Seah Steel's future price is the expected price of Seah Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seah Steel Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seah Steel Backtesting, Seah Steel Valuation, Seah Steel Correlation, Seah Steel Hype Analysis, Seah Steel Volatility, Seah Steel History as well as Seah Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Seah Steel's target price for which you would like Seah Steel odds to be computed.

Seah Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 159467.0

The tendency of Seah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  159,467  or more in 90 days
 171,500 90 days 159,467 
about 5.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seah Steel to drop to  159,467  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.05 (This Seah Steel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Seah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seah Steel Corp price to stay between  159,467  and its current price of 171500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seah Steel has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Seah Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seah Steel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seah Steel Corp has an alpha of 0.0626, implying that it can generate a 0.0626 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Seah Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seah Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seah Steel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
171,497171,500171,503
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161,207161,210188,650
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
164,130164,133164,136
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
165,526171,400177,274
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seah Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seah Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seah Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seah Steel Corp.

Seah Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seah Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seah Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seah Steel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seah Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
8,100
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Seah Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seah Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seah Steel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seah Steel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seah Steel generates negative cash flow from operations
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Seah Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seah Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seah Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Seah Steel Technical Analysis

Seah Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seah Steel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seah Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Seah Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seah Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seah Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seah Steel Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seah Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seah Steel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seah Steel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seah Steel generates negative cash flow from operations
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Seah Stock

Seah Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seah with respect to the benefits of owning Seah Steel security.