Hanshin Construction (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6930.0

004960 Stock   7,000  10.00  0.14%   
Hanshin Construction's future price is the expected price of Hanshin Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanshin Construction Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanshin Construction Backtesting, Hanshin Construction Valuation, Hanshin Construction Correlation, Hanshin Construction Hype Analysis, Hanshin Construction Volatility, Hanshin Construction History as well as Hanshin Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Hanshin Construction's target price for which you would like Hanshin Construction odds to be computed.

Hanshin Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 6930.0

The tendency of Hanshin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  6,930  in 90 days
 7,000 90 days 6,930 
about 56.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanshin Construction to stay above  6,930  in 90 days from now is about 56.12 (This Hanshin Construction Co probability density function shows the probability of Hanshin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanshin Construction price to stay between  6,930  and its current price of 7000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanshin Construction Co has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hanshin Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hanshin Construction Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hanshin Construction Co has an alpha of 0.0089, implying that it can generate a 0.008871 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanshin Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanshin Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanshin Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,9987,0007,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,8885,8907,700
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,8796,8816,884
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,5186,8727,225
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanshin Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanshin Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanshin Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanshin Construction.

Hanshin Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanshin Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanshin Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanshin Construction Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanshin Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
189.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Hanshin Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanshin Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanshin Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanshin Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hanshin Construction Technical Analysis

Hanshin Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanshin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanshin Construction Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanshin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanshin Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Hanshin Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanshin Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanshin Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanshin Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanshin Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanshin Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanshin Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hanshin Stock

Hanshin Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanshin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanshin with respect to the benefits of owning Hanshin Construction security.