Dongjin Semichem (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24464.6

005290 Stock  KRW 22,800  900.00  3.80%   
Dongjin Semichem's future price is the expected price of Dongjin Semichem instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongjin Semichem Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongjin Semichem Backtesting, Dongjin Semichem Valuation, Dongjin Semichem Correlation, Dongjin Semichem Hype Analysis, Dongjin Semichem Volatility, Dongjin Semichem History as well as Dongjin Semichem Performance.
  
Please specify Dongjin Semichem's target price for which you would like Dongjin Semichem odds to be computed.

Dongjin Semichem Target Price Odds to finish below 24464.6

The tendency of Dongjin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 24,465  after 90 days
 22,800 90 days 24,465 
about 9.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongjin Semichem to stay under W 24,465  after 90 days from now is about 9.63 (This Dongjin Semichem Co probability density function shows the probability of Dongjin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dongjin Semichem price to stay between its current price of W 22,800  and W 24,465  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongjin Semichem has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dongjin Semichem average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dongjin Semichem Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dongjin Semichem Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongjin Semichem Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongjin Semichem

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongjin Semichem. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23,69723,70023,703
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21,33025,41225,415
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,89323,89623,899
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21,91725,38828,858
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongjin Semichem. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongjin Semichem's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongjin Semichem's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongjin Semichem.

Dongjin Semichem Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongjin Semichem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongjin Semichem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongjin Semichem Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongjin Semichem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
2,654
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Dongjin Semichem Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongjin Semichem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongjin Semichem can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongjin Semichem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dongjin Semichem has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dongjin Semichem Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dongjin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dongjin Semichem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dongjin Semichem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments286.6 B

Dongjin Semichem Technical Analysis

Dongjin Semichem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongjin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongjin Semichem Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongjin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongjin Semichem Predictive Forecast Models

Dongjin Semichem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongjin Semichem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongjin Semichem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongjin Semichem

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongjin Semichem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongjin Semichem help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongjin Semichem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dongjin Semichem has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Dongjin Stock

Dongjin Semichem financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongjin with respect to the benefits of owning Dongjin Semichem security.