GS Retail (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20700.0

007070 Stock   22,600  950.00  4.39%   
GS Retail's future price is the expected price of GS Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GS Retail Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GS Retail Backtesting, GS Retail Valuation, GS Retail Correlation, GS Retail Hype Analysis, GS Retail Volatility, GS Retail History as well as GS Retail Performance.
  
Please specify GS Retail's target price for which you would like GS Retail odds to be computed.

GS Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 20700.0

The tendency of 007070 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  20,700  or more in 90 days
 22,600 90 days 20,700 
about 12.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GS Retail to drop to  20,700  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.96 (This GS Retail Co probability density function shows the probability of 007070 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GS Retail price to stay between  20,700  and its current price of 22600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GS Retail has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, GS Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GS Retail Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GS Retail Co has an alpha of 0.0995, implying that it can generate a 0.0995 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GS Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GS Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GS Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,59822,60022,602
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18,49918,50124,860
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22,07522,07722,079
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,15821,08922,020
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GS Retail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GS Retail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GS Retail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GS Retail.

GS Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GS Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GS Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GS Retail Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GS Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
617.68
Ir
Information ratio 0

GS Retail Technical Analysis

GS Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 007070 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GS Retail Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 007070 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GS Retail Predictive Forecast Models

GS Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many GS Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GS Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GS Retail in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GS Retail's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GS Retail options trading.

Other Information on Investing in 007070 Stock

GS Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether 007070 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 007070 with respect to the benefits of owning GS Retail security.