Lyc Healthcare (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.18

0075 Stock   0.09  0.01  5.26%   
Lyc Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Lyc Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lyc Healthcare Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lyc Healthcare Backtesting, Lyc Healthcare Valuation, Lyc Healthcare Correlation, Lyc Healthcare Hype Analysis, Lyc Healthcare Volatility, Lyc Healthcare History as well as Lyc Healthcare Performance.
  
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Lyc Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 0.18

The tendency of Lyc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.18  after 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.18 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyc Healthcare to stay under  0.18  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lyc Healthcare Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Lyc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyc Healthcare Bhd price to stay between its current price of  0.09  and  0.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyc Healthcare Bhd has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lyc Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lyc Healthcare Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lyc Healthcare Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lyc Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lyc Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyc Healthcare Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.094.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.084.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.094.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.090.1
Details

Lyc Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyc Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyc Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyc Healthcare Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyc Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Lyc Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyc Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyc Healthcare Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lyc Healthcare Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 64.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Lyc Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lyc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lyc Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lyc Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding464.5 M
Short Long Term Debt459 K
Cash And Short Term Investments21.8 M

Lyc Healthcare Technical Analysis

Lyc Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyc Healthcare Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lyc Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Lyc Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyc Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyc Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lyc Healthcare Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyc Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyc Healthcare Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lyc Healthcare Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lyc Healthcare Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 64.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in Lyc Stock

Lyc Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyc with respect to the benefits of owning Lyc Healthcare security.