Ilyang Pharm (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11,427

007570 Stock   10,420  560.00  5.68%   
Ilyang Pharm's future price is the expected price of Ilyang Pharm instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ilyang Pharm performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ilyang Pharm Backtesting, Ilyang Pharm Valuation, Ilyang Pharm Correlation, Ilyang Pharm Hype Analysis, Ilyang Pharm Volatility, Ilyang Pharm History as well as Ilyang Pharm Performance.
  
Please specify Ilyang Pharm's target price for which you would like Ilyang Pharm odds to be computed.

Ilyang Pharm Target Price Odds to finish below 11,427

The tendency of Ilyang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 10,420 90 days 10,420 
roughly 2.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ilyang Pharm to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.3 (This Ilyang Pharm probability density function shows the probability of Ilyang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ilyang Pharm has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ilyang Pharm average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ilyang Pharm will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ilyang Pharm has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ilyang Pharm Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ilyang Pharm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ilyang Pharm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,41810,42010,422
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,6899,69111,462
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10,40710,40910,410
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,96211,22912,496
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ilyang Pharm. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ilyang Pharm's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ilyang Pharm's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ilyang Pharm.

Ilyang Pharm Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ilyang Pharm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ilyang Pharm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ilyang Pharm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ilyang Pharm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
987.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

Ilyang Pharm Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ilyang Pharm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ilyang Pharm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilyang Pharm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Ilyang Pharm Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ilyang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ilyang Pharm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ilyang Pharm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.2 M

Ilyang Pharm Technical Analysis

Ilyang Pharm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ilyang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ilyang Pharm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ilyang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ilyang Pharm Predictive Forecast Models

Ilyang Pharm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ilyang Pharm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ilyang Pharm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ilyang Pharm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ilyang Pharm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ilyang Pharm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilyang Pharm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Ilyang Stock

Ilyang Pharm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ilyang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ilyang with respect to the benefits of owning Ilyang Pharm security.