SMCoreInc (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4290.63

007820 Stock  KRW 4,040  160.00  3.81%   
SMCoreInc's future price is the expected price of SMCoreInc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SMCoreInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SMCoreInc Backtesting, SMCoreInc Valuation, SMCoreInc Correlation, SMCoreInc Hype Analysis, SMCoreInc Volatility, SMCoreInc History as well as SMCoreInc Performance.
  
Please specify SMCoreInc's target price for which you would like SMCoreInc odds to be computed.

SMCoreInc Target Price Odds to finish over 4290.63

The tendency of SMCoreInc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 4,291  or more in 90 days
 4,040 90 days 4,291 
about 84.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SMCoreInc to move over W 4,291  or more in 90 days from now is about 84.22 (This SMCoreInc probability density function shows the probability of SMCoreInc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SMCoreInc price to stay between its current price of W 4,040  and W 4,291  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SMCoreInc has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SMCoreInc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SMCoreInc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SMCoreInc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SMCoreInc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SMCoreInc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMCoreInc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,0374,0404,043
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0374,0404,043
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,8573,8603,863
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0104,2234,436
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SMCoreInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SMCoreInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SMCoreInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SMCoreInc.

SMCoreInc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SMCoreInc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SMCoreInc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SMCoreInc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SMCoreInc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
365.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

SMCoreInc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SMCoreInc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SMCoreInc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SMCoreInc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 76.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (578.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.9 B.
SMCoreInc has accumulated about 10.61 B in cash with (16.73 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SMCoreInc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SMCoreInc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SMCoreInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMCoreInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.6 B

SMCoreInc Technical Analysis

SMCoreInc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SMCoreInc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SMCoreInc. In general, you should focus on analyzing SMCoreInc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SMCoreInc Predictive Forecast Models

SMCoreInc's time-series forecasting models is one of many SMCoreInc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SMCoreInc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SMCoreInc

Checking the ongoing alerts about SMCoreInc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SMCoreInc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SMCoreInc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 76.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (578.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.9 B.
SMCoreInc has accumulated about 10.61 B in cash with (16.73 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SMCoreInc Stock

SMCoreInc financial ratios help investors to determine whether SMCoreInc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SMCoreInc with respect to the benefits of owning SMCoreInc security.