Fuh Hwa (Taiwan) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 51.99
| 00789B Etf | TWD 53.40 0.20 0.38% |
Fuh |
Fuh Hwa Target Price Odds to finish below 51.99
The tendency of Fuh Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 51.99 or more in 90 days |
| 53.40 | 90 days | 51.99 | about 11.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fuh Hwa to drop to NT$ 51.99 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.47 (This Fuh Hwa 20 probability density function shows the probability of Fuh Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fuh Hwa 20 price to stay between NT$ 51.99 and its current price of NT$53.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fuh Hwa has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fuh Hwa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fuh Hwa 20 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fuh Hwa 20 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fuh Hwa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fuh Hwa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuh Hwa 20. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fuh Hwa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fuh Hwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fuh Hwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fuh Hwa 20, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fuh Hwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Fuh Hwa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fuh Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fuh Hwa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuh Hwa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 100.25k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 101.38k |
Fuh Hwa Technical Analysis
Fuh Hwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fuh Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fuh Hwa 20. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fuh Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fuh Hwa Predictive Forecast Models
Fuh Hwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fuh Hwa's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fuh Hwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fuh Hwa in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fuh Hwa's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fuh Hwa options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Fuh Etf
Fuh Hwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fuh Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fuh with respect to the benefits of owning Fuh Hwa security.