CTBC Enhanced (Taiwan) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 10.46
| 00948B Etf | 10.32 0.04 0.39% |
CTBC |
CTBC Enhanced Target Price Odds to finish below 10.46
The tendency of CTBC Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 10.46 after 90 days |
| 10.32 | 90 days | 10.46 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CTBC Enhanced to stay under 10.46 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This CTBC Enhanced Yield probability density function shows the probability of CTBC Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CTBC Enhanced Yield price to stay between its current price of 10.32 and 10.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CTBC Enhanced has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CTBC Enhanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CTBC Enhanced Yield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CTBC Enhanced Yield has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 9.42E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CTBC Enhanced Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CTBC Enhanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTBC Enhanced Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CTBC Enhanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CTBC Enhanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CTBC Enhanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CTBC Enhanced Yield.CTBC Enhanced Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CTBC Enhanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CTBC Enhanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CTBC Enhanced Yield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CTBC Enhanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
CTBC Enhanced Technical Analysis
CTBC Enhanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CTBC Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CTBC Enhanced Yield. In general, you should focus on analyzing CTBC Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CTBC Enhanced Predictive Forecast Models
CTBC Enhanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many CTBC Enhanced's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CTBC Enhanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CTBC Enhanced in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CTBC Enhanced's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CTBC Enhanced options trading.