POSCO M (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19190.0

009520 Stock  KRW 13,860  590.00  4.08%   
POSCO M's future price is the expected price of POSCO M instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POSCO M TECH Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POSCO M Backtesting, POSCO M Valuation, POSCO M Correlation, POSCO M Hype Analysis, POSCO M Volatility, POSCO M History as well as POSCO M Performance.
  
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POSCO M Target Price Odds to finish over 19190.0

The tendency of POSCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 19,190  or more in 90 days
 13,860 90 days 19,190 
roughly 2.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POSCO M to move over W 19,190  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.2 (This POSCO M TECH Co probability density function shows the probability of POSCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POSCO M TECH price to stay between its current price of W 13,860  and W 19,190  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POSCO M has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, POSCO M average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding POSCO M TECH Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally POSCO M TECH Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   POSCO M Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POSCO M

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POSCO M TECH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,85713,86013,863
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,65212,65515,246
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,13914,14214,144
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,44614,11114,776
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as POSCO M. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against POSCO M's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, POSCO M's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in POSCO M TECH.

POSCO M Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POSCO M is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POSCO M's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POSCO M TECH Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POSCO M within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1,441
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

POSCO M Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POSCO M for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POSCO M TECH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POSCO M TECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

POSCO M Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of POSCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential POSCO M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. POSCO M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.6 M
Dividends Paid3.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments51.1 B
Shares Float20.5 M

POSCO M Technical Analysis

POSCO M's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POSCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POSCO M TECH Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing POSCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POSCO M Predictive Forecast Models

POSCO M's time-series forecasting models is one of many POSCO M's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POSCO M's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POSCO M TECH

Checking the ongoing alerts about POSCO M for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POSCO M TECH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POSCO M TECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in POSCO Stock

POSCO M financial ratios help investors to determine whether POSCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POSCO with respect to the benefits of owning POSCO M security.