LG Innotek (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 169100.0

011070 Stock   165,900  10,500  6.76%   
LG Innotek's future price is the expected price of LG Innotek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LG Innotek Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LG Innotek Backtesting, LG Innotek Valuation, LG Innotek Correlation, LG Innotek Hype Analysis, LG Innotek Volatility, LG Innotek History as well as LG Innotek Performance.
  
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LG Innotek Target Price Odds to finish below 169100.0

The tendency of 011070 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  169,100  after 90 days
 165,900 90 days 169,100 
about 20.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LG Innotek to stay under  169,100  after 90 days from now is about 20.78 (This LG Innotek Co probability density function shows the probability of 011070 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LG Innotek price to stay between its current price of  165,900  and  169,100  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LG Innotek has a beta of 0.69. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LG Innotek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LG Innotek Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LG Innotek Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LG Innotek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LG Innotek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Innotek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155,398155,400155,402
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130,534130,536170,940
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
148,595148,597148,599
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
138,743187,738236,734
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LG Innotek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LG Innotek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LG Innotek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LG Innotek.

LG Innotek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LG Innotek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LG Innotek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LG Innotek Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LG Innotek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
29,715
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

LG Innotek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LG Innotek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LG Innotek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LG Innotek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

LG Innotek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 011070 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LG Innotek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LG Innotek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.7 M

LG Innotek Technical Analysis

LG Innotek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 011070 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LG Innotek Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 011070 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LG Innotek Predictive Forecast Models

LG Innotek's time-series forecasting models is one of many LG Innotek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LG Innotek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LG Innotek

Checking the ongoing alerts about LG Innotek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LG Innotek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LG Innotek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 011070 Stock

LG Innotek financial ratios help investors to determine whether 011070 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 011070 with respect to the benefits of owning LG Innotek security.