Lotte Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 137,090
| 011170 Stock | 64,500 4,900 7.06% |
Lotte |
Lotte Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 137,090
The tendency of Lotte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 64,500 | 90 days | 64,500 | roughly 2.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotte Chemical to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.71 (This Lotte Chemical Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lotte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lotte Chemical Corp has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lotte Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lotte Chemical Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lotte Chemical Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lotte Chemical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lotte Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotte Chemical Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lotte Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotte Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotte Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotte Chemical Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotte Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10,588 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Lotte Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotte Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotte Chemical Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lotte Chemical Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lotte Chemical Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lotte Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotte Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotte Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.3 M |
Lotte Chemical Technical Analysis
Lotte Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotte Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotte Chemical Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotte Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lotte Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Lotte Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotte Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotte Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lotte Chemical Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotte Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotte Chemical Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lotte Chemical Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lotte Chemical Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Lotte Stock
Lotte Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotte Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotte with respect to the benefits of owning Lotte Chemical security.