HMM (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18500.0

011200 Stock   18,300  120.00  0.66%   
HMM's future price is the expected price of HMM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HMM Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HMM Backtesting, HMM Valuation, HMM Correlation, HMM Hype Analysis, HMM Volatility, HMM History as well as HMM Performance.
  
Please specify HMM's target price for which you would like HMM odds to be computed.

HMM Target Price Odds to finish below 18500.0

The tendency of HMM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18,500  after 90 days
 18,300 90 days 18,500 
about 54.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HMM to stay under  18,500  after 90 days from now is about 54.03 (This HMM Co probability density function shows the probability of HMM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HMM Co price to stay between its current price of  18,300  and  18,500  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HMM Co has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HMM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HMM Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HMM Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HMM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HMM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HMM Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,29818,30018,302
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,52715,53020,130
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18,31118,31318,316
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18,01718,20218,387
Details

HMM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HMM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HMM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HMM Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HMM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
481.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

HMM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HMM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HMM Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HMM Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

HMM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HMM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HMM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HMM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding489 M

HMM Technical Analysis

HMM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HMM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HMM Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing HMM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HMM Predictive Forecast Models

HMM's time-series forecasting models is one of many HMM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HMM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HMM Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about HMM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HMM Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HMM Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in HMM Stock

HMM financial ratios help investors to determine whether HMM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HMM with respect to the benefits of owning HMM security.