SEOHAN Const (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 727.0

011370 Stock  KRW 803.00  6.00  0.74%   
SEOHAN Const's future price is the expected price of SEOHAN Const instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SEOHAN Const Backtesting, SEOHAN Const Valuation, SEOHAN Const Correlation, SEOHAN Const Hype Analysis, SEOHAN Const Volatility, SEOHAN Const History as well as SEOHAN Const Performance.
  
Please specify SEOHAN Const's target price for which you would like SEOHAN Const odds to be computed.

SEOHAN Const Target Price Odds to finish below 727.0

The tendency of SEOHAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 727.00  or more in 90 days
 803.00 90 days 727.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEOHAN Const to drop to W 727.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd probability density function shows the probability of SEOHAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd price to stay between W 727.00  and its current price of W803.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEOHAN Const has a beta of 0.62. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SEOHAN Const average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SEOHAN Const Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SEOHAN Const

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
801.73803.00804.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
800.23801.50883.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
809.62810.88812.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
760.82789.20817.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SEOHAN Const. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SEOHAN Const's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SEOHAN Const's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd.

SEOHAN Const Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEOHAN Const is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEOHAN Const's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEOHAN Const within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
20.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

SEOHAN Const Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEOHAN Const for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEOHAN Const generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd has accumulated about 51.32 B in cash with (89.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 663.02.
Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SEOHAN Const Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEOHAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEOHAN Const's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEOHAN Const's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments126.4 B

SEOHAN Const Technical Analysis

SEOHAN Const's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEOHAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEOHAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SEOHAN Const Predictive Forecast Models

SEOHAN Const's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEOHAN Const's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEOHAN Const's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about SEOHAN Const for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEOHAN Const generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEOHAN Const EngcoLtd has accumulated about 51.32 B in cash with (89.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 663.02.
Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SEOHAN Stock

SEOHAN Const financial ratios help investors to determine whether SEOHAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SEOHAN with respect to the benefits of owning SEOHAN Const security.