Advance Information (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0743

0122 Stock   0.07  0.01  7.14%   
Advance Information's future price is the expected price of Advance Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Advance Information Marketing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Advance Information Backtesting, Advance Information Valuation, Advance Information Correlation, Advance Information Hype Analysis, Advance Information Volatility, Advance Information History as well as Advance Information Performance.
  
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Advance Information Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0743

The tendency of Advance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 29.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advance Information to move over  0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.22 (This Advance Information Marketing probability density function shows the probability of Advance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advance Information price to stay between its current price of  0.07  and  0.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advance Information has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Advance Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Advance Information Marketing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Advance Information Marketing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Advance Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advance Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advance Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.075.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.065.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.065.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.070.08
Details

Advance Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advance Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advance Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advance Information Marketing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advance Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Advance Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advance Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advance Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advance Information had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Advance Information has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 7.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Advance Information Marketing has accumulated about 4.07 M in cash with (3.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Advance Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advance Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advance Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding266.1 M
Short Long Term Debt721.9 K
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 M

Advance Information Technical Analysis

Advance Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advance Information Marketing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Advance Information Predictive Forecast Models

Advance Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advance Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advance Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Advance Information

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advance Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advance Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advance Information had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Advance Information has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 7.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Advance Information Marketing has accumulated about 4.07 M in cash with (3.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Advance Stock

Advance Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advance Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advance with respect to the benefits of owning Advance Information security.