Kyeryong Construction (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13,157

013580 Stock   12,330  330.00  2.75%   
Kyeryong Construction's future price is the expected price of Kyeryong Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kyeryong Construction Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kyeryong Construction Backtesting, Kyeryong Construction Valuation, Kyeryong Construction Correlation, Kyeryong Construction Hype Analysis, Kyeryong Construction Volatility, Kyeryong Construction History as well as Kyeryong Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Kyeryong Construction's target price for which you would like Kyeryong Construction odds to be computed.

Kyeryong Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 13,157

The tendency of Kyeryong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 12,330 90 days 12,330 
roughly 2.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kyeryong Construction to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.46 (This Kyeryong Construction Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Kyeryong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kyeryong Construction has a beta of 0.0999. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kyeryong Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kyeryong Construction Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kyeryong Construction Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kyeryong Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kyeryong Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyeryong Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,32912,33012,331
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,88711,88813,563
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,95511,95611,957
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12,34513,04113,736
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kyeryong Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kyeryong Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kyeryong Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kyeryong Construction.

Kyeryong Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kyeryong Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kyeryong Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kyeryong Construction Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kyeryong Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
594.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Kyeryong Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kyeryong Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kyeryong Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kyeryong Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kyeryong Construction Technical Analysis

Kyeryong Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kyeryong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kyeryong Construction Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kyeryong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kyeryong Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Kyeryong Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kyeryong Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kyeryong Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kyeryong Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kyeryong Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kyeryong Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kyeryong Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kyeryong Stock

Kyeryong Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kyeryong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kyeryong with respect to the benefits of owning Kyeryong Construction security.