Kukdong Oil (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3,629

014530 Stock   3,580  45.00  1.24%   
Kukdong Oil's future price is the expected price of Kukdong Oil instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kukdong Oil Chemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kukdong Oil Backtesting, Kukdong Oil Valuation, Kukdong Oil Correlation, Kukdong Oil Hype Analysis, Kukdong Oil Volatility, Kukdong Oil History as well as Kukdong Oil Performance.
  
Please specify Kukdong Oil's target price for which you would like Kukdong Oil odds to be computed.

Kukdong Oil Target Price Odds to finish over 3,629

The tendency of Kukdong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,580 90 days 3,580 
over 95.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kukdong Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.49 (This Kukdong Oil Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Kukdong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kukdong Oil has a beta of 0.0793. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kukdong Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kukdong Oil Chemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kukdong Oil Chemicals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kukdong Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kukdong Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kukdong Oil Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,5793,5803,581
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,8992,9003,938
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,5083,5103,511
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,5933,6223,652
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kukdong Oil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kukdong Oil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kukdong Oil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kukdong Oil Chemicals.

Kukdong Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kukdong Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kukdong Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kukdong Oil Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kukdong Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
95.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Kukdong Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kukdong Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kukdong Oil Chemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kukdong Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kukdong Oil Technical Analysis

Kukdong Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kukdong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kukdong Oil Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kukdong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kukdong Oil Predictive Forecast Models

Kukdong Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kukdong Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kukdong Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kukdong Oil Chemicals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kukdong Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kukdong Oil Chemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kukdong Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kukdong Stock

Kukdong Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kukdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kukdong with respect to the benefits of owning Kukdong Oil security.